Selected Macroeconomic Indicators and Economic Wellbeing in Nigeria
“crossref”/

Main Article Content

Davis Ojima, PhD 

Abstract

This study examines selected macroeconomic indicators and economic well-being in Nigeria. It focuses on the effects of exchange rate fluctuation, inflation, balance of payments, unemployment and literacy rate in both short and long run on the well-being of Nigerians. It used econometric analysis on the annual time series data collected from both the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin and World Bank development indications of 2024. The findings of the study reveal that exchange rate is negative and statistically significant on the economic well-being in the long run indicating, that depreciation of the Naira reduces purchasing power and worsens economic conditions. Though inflation has a negative impact, is found to be statistically insignificant, suggesting the presence of economic adaptation mechanisms.  Balance of payments was found to have positive and significant effect, demonstrating that an improved trade balance enhances economic well-being. However, unemployment and literacy rates, despite having positive coefficients, are found to be statistically insignificant. This implies that structural labor market inefficiencies and educational mismatch may limit their direct impact on economic well-being. The study concludes that macroeconomic stability, exchange rate management, trade balance improvements, and job creation strategies are essential for enhancing economic well-being in Nigeria. The study therefore made the following policy recommendations; ensuring foreign exchange stability measures, export diversification, inflation control policies, labor market reforms, and investments in infrastructure and education. Implementation of these strategies will contribute to sustainable economic growth and improved living standards for Nigerians.


JEL: 011,023,047.

Article Details

Ojima, D. (2025). Selected Macroeconomic Indicators and Economic Wellbeing in Nigeria. African Journal of Management and Business Research, 18(1), 238-257. https://doi.org/10.62154/ajmbr.2025.018.010655
Articles

Copyright (c) 2025 Davis Ojima, PhD (Author)

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Davis Ojima, PhD, Ignatius Ajuru University of Education, Rumuolumeni, Port Harcourt, Nigeria.

Department of Economics,

Ignatius Ajuru University of Education, Rumuolumeni, Port Harcourt, Nigeria.

Acemoglu, D. (2009). Introduction to modern economic growth, Princeton University Press, New Jersey NY

Adebayo, K. & Ohonba, A. (2024). Macroconomic variables as determinant of economic growth in Nigeria: A dynamic generalized method of moment approach. Edelweiss Journal of Applied Science and Technology, Learning gate, 8(6), 1121-1134 DOI: https://doi.org/10.55214/25768484.v8i6.2215

Adeniran, J. O., Yusuf, S. A. & Adeyemi, O. A. (2014). The impact of exchange rate fluctuation on the Nigerian economic growth: An empirical investigation. International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 4(8), 224–233. DOI: https://doi.org/10.6007/IJARBSS/v4-i8/1091

Aghion, P. & Howitt, P. (1991). Growth and unemployment: The review of economic studies, 61(3), 477-494 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2297900

Akpakpan, E.B. (1987). Crossroads in Nigeria development. New Generaiton OPublishers Indiana University

Anderson, L.C. & Jordan, J.L. (1968), “Monetary and fiscal action: a test of their relative importance in economic stabilization”, Monthly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Vol. 50 November, pp. 11-23. DOI: https://doi.org/10.20955/r.50.11-24.qox

Antwi, S., Mills, E.F. & Zhao, X. (2013), “Impact of macroeconomic factors on economic growth in Ghana: a cointegration analysis”, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Vol. 3 No. 1, pp. 35-45. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5539/ibr.v6n3p100

Anyanwu, J.C. (2014). “Factors affecting economic growth in Africa: are there any lessons from China?” African Development Review, Vol. 26 No. 3, pp. 468-493. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8268.12105

Barro, R.J. and Sala-i-Martin, X. (1992), “Public finance in models of economic growth”, The Review of Economic, Vol. 59 No. 4, pp. 645-661. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2297991

Bayraktar, N. &Wang, Y. (2006), “Banking sector openness and economic growth”, Policy Research Working Paper, No. 4019, WorldBank, Washington, DC. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-4019

Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). (2022). Annual Economic Report. Abuja: CBN Publications.

Central Bank of Nigeria, Statistical Bulletin.

Chen, B. & Feng, Y. (2000), “Determinants of economic growth in China: private enterprise, education, and openness. India: a time series analysis. SOP transaction on economic research”, China Economic Review, Vol. 11 No. 1, pp. 1-15. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1043-951X(99)00014-0

Chitonge, H. (2014), Economic Growth and Development in Africa: Understanding Trends and Prospects, Routledge, London. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315738963

Collier, P. & Goderis, B. (2012), “Commodity prices and growth: an empirical investigation”, European Economic Review, Vol. 56 No. 6, pp. 1241-1260. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2012.04.002

De Long & Summers (1992), “Equipment investment and economic growth: how strong is the nexus?” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Vol. 23 No. 2, pp. 157-212. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2534583

Dickey–Fuller (1979), “Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root”, Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 74 No. 366, pp. 427-431. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1979.10482531

Ehigiamusoe, K.U. & Lean, H.H. (2017). Macroeconomic variables investment and economic development in Nigeria: A prognosis. Journal of Economic Cooperation & Development, 38, 145-168.

Ehigiamusoe, K.U. & Lean, H.H. (2017). Macroeconomic variables investment and economic development in Nigeria: A prognosis. Journal of Economic Cooperation & Development, 38, 145-168.

Engle, R.F. & Granger, C.W.J. (1987), “Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation and testing”, Econometrica, Vol. 55, pp. 251-276. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1913236

Eze, J. & Okonkwo, R. (2021). Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Economic Stability in Nigeria. Journal of Economic Policy Research, 10(4), 78-95.

Fischer, S. (1992), “Macroeconomic stability and growth”, Cuadernos de Economia, Vol. 29 No. 87, pp. 171-186.

Frankel, M. (1962), “The production function in allocation and growth: a synthesis”, The American Economic Review, Vol. 52 No. 5, pp. 996-1022.

Gujarati, D.N. (2004), Basic Econometrics, 4th ed., McGraw-Hill Companies, New York.

Heckscher, E., & Ohlin, B. (1933). Interregional and international trade. Harvard University Press.

International Monetary Fund. (2022). Nigeria: Selected issues paper. IMF Country Report No. 22/123. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400200410.002

Islam, N. (1995), “Growth Empirics: a panel data approach”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 110 No. 4, pp. 1127-1170. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2946651

Ismaila, M. and Imoughele, L.E. (2015), “Macroeconomic determinants of economic growth in Nigeria: a Co-integration approach”, International Journal of Academic Research in Economic and Management Science, Vol. 4, pp. 34-46. DOI: https://doi.org/10.6007/IJAREMS/v4-i1/1485

Jhingan, M.L. (2007). Macroeconomic theory. Vrinda Publications (P) ltd Mayur Vihar Delhi

Johansen & Juselius (1990), “Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on cointegration with applications to the demand for money”, Oxfrod Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 52 No. 2, 0305-9049. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0084.1990.mp52002003.x

Kelvin .M Murphy, Adrei Shieifor & Robert W.V (1989). Industrialization and the Big Push. Journal of Political Economy 97(5)1-24 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/261641

Knight, M., Loayza, N. & Villanueva, D. (1993), “Testing the neoclassical theory of economic growth: a panel data approach”, Staff Papers (International Monetary Fund), Vol. 40 No. 3, pp. 512-541. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/3867446

Leamer, Eric (1995). The Hecksher Ohliri Model in Theory and Practice

Lucas, R.E. Jr (1988), “On the mechanics of economic development”, Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 22, pp. 3-42. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(88)90168-7

Molua, E. (2010), Assessment of Trade Facilitation and Competitiveness of Cameroon's Coffee Sector: Implications for Trade Liberalization, Department of Economics and Management, University, Buea, Cameroon.

Mundell, R. (1963), “Inflation and real interest rate”, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 71 No. 3, pp. 280-283. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/258771

Ndambiri,H.K.Ritho,C. Ng’ang’a, S.I., Kubowon, P.C., Mairura, F.C., Nyangweso, P.M., Muiruri, E.M. & Cherotwe, F.H. (2012), Determinants of Economic Growth in Sub Saharan Africa: A Panel Data Approach, Center for Envirnmental Economics and Policy in Africa, Pretoria.

Nwankwo, E. (2020). Inflationary Trends and their Effects on Nigeria’s Economy. West African Economic Review, 8(2), 34-50.

OECD. (2011). How’s life? Measuring well-being. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1787/dcr-2011-en

Ogunleye, T. (2019). Income Distribution and Economic Wellbeing in Nigeria. Nigerian Journal of Development Studies, 12(1), 21-38.

Oladipo, O. S., Ado, N., Alesinloye, F. M., & Yusuf, W. A. (2024). Impact of selected macroeconomic variables on economic growth in Nigeria. Open Journal of Social Sciences, 12(11), 1–19.

Olajide, O., Nulu, A., Fausat, A. & Yusufu, W. (2024). Impact of selected macroeconomic variables on economic growth in Nigeria. Open Journal of Social Sciences, 12, 186-203. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4236/jss.2024.1211013

Olokoyo, F. O., Oyakhilome, F. F., Abiola, R. O. & Yinka-Banjo, C. (2021). Macroeconomic variables and bank performance in Nigeria: A panel data analysis. Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences, 37(4), 509–523.

Olokoyo, F., Ibhagui, O. W., Babajide, A. & Yinka-Banjo, C. (2021). The impact of macroeconomic variables on bank performance in Nigeria. Savings and Development, 43, 31–47.

Olokoyo, F., Oyakhilome, Ibhagu, Abiola, B. & Yinka-Banjo (2021). The Impact of Macroeconomic variables on Bank Performance in Nigeria. Savings and Development, 43, 31-47

Olokoyo, F., Oyakhilome, Ibhagu, Abiola, B.& Yinka-Banjo (2021). The Impact of Macroeconomic variables on Bank Performance in Nigeria. Savings and Development, 43, 31-47

Omebere, H.I., Ezenekwe, R.U., Uzoechina, B.I. & Nwokoje, S.I. (2024). Macroeconomic variables on Economic Growth in Nigeria from 1980-2022 Journal of Economic Studies, 21(1), 86-102

Omebere, H.I., Ezenekwe, R.U., Uzoechina, B.I. & Nwokoje, S.I. (2024). Macroeconomic variables on Economic Growth in Nigeria from 1980-2022 Journal of Economic Studies, 21(1), 86-102

Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development. (2011). How's life? Measuring well-being. OECD Publishing.

Paul, R. M. (1986). Endogenous technological change. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), 40-56

Pesaran, M.H. & Shin, Y. (1999), “An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modeling approach to cointegration analysis”, in Strom, S. (ed.), Econometrics and Economic Theory in the 20th Century: the Ragnar Frisch Centennial Symposium, Cambridge University Press.

Pesaran, M.H., Shin, Y. & Smith, R.J. (2001), “Bound testing approaches to the analysis of level relationship. Journal of Applied Economics. 16, 289-326. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.616

Phillips, P.C.B. & Perron, P. (1988), “Testing for a unit root in time series regression”, Biometrica, 75, 335-346. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/75.2.335

Pindyck, R.S. & Somalino, A. (1993). Economic stability and aggregate investment”, NBER Macroeconomics Annual, Vol. 8, pp. 259-318, Repartition des Revenues au Cameroun Durant les Années 80 et 90. Final Report, Nairobi, Kenya: AERC. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/3585033

Rosenstein-Rodan, P. N. (1943). Problems of industrialization of Eastern and South-Eastern Europe. The Economic Journal, 53(210/211), 202–211. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2226317

Shaw, E.S. (1973), Financial Deepening in Economic Development, Oxford University Press, New York, NY.

Solow, R.M. (1956), “A contribution to the theory of economic growth”, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Vol. 23 No. 1, pp. 3-14. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/grm004

Stiglitz, J. E., Sen, A. & Fitoussi, J. P. (2009). Report by the Commission on the Measurement of Economic Performance and Social Progress.

Uchenna, D. & Chijioke, P. (2021). Fiscal Policies and Economic Performance in Nigeria. African Economic Review, 9(5), 56-72.

Uniamikogbo, S.O. & Enoma, A.I. (2001). The impact of monetary policy on manufacturing sector in Nigeria”, The Nigeria Economic and Financial Review, Vol. 3 No. 2, pp. 37-45.

Walters (1966). The Impact of Changes in Money Supply on the Value of Gross National Product (GDP) in UK, International Financial Statistics, Washington DC, pp. 107-166.

World Bank. (2021). Nigeria: Economic Assessment and Policy Recommendations. Washington, D.C.: World Bank Publications.